The Earth reached an historic milestone at year-end 2023 which should have been met with a woeful outcry but instead was greeted with a deafening silence.
The world population of 7.9 billion slipped over the 8 billion mark. Worse, projections are that we will hit 9.1 billion by 2050, just 25 years away. This addition of another 1.1 billion people will require huge supplies of clean water, land, shelter, food, and energy, and it will further invade wildlife habitats.
Not only was this growth greeted with a yawn, but those who reported on the growth discussed it in entirely economic terms. Hardly a word was said about what it meant in terms of our environmental future.
Just one “minor” example: The New York Times in April 2023, reported that India will soon pass China in population, writing: “With size -- a population that now exceeds 1.4 billion -- comes geopolitical, economic and cultural power…And with growth comes the prospect of a ‘demographic dividend’.’’
The Times devoted three pages analyzing this development. There was not one word on what this meant to the environment.
Now, you don’t have to be a climate change expert, scientist or scholar to know that growth requires resources. We will now need more land for shelter, food, water, and energy -- resources which are already at a minimum. We are already using resources faster than the Earth can replenish them.
The dire warnings regarding population growth are not new; many experts in the past have tried to get the attention of the world on the threat that population growth poses to our existence.
For instance, the United Nations has estimated the planet will need twice as much food by 2050 than we are producing now. Its Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has reported we will need to increase world food production by 60 to 70 percent to feed 9 billion people.
In 2006, when former Vice President Al Gore released his award-winning book and movie, “An Inconvenient Truth,” which warned about the environmental challenges we face, the world population stood at 6.6 billion. We have witnessed an increase of 1.4 billion people or a 21.2 percent jump in just 19 years.
In 1968, Paul R. Ehrlich, and his wife, Anne Howland Ehrlich, two Stanford University researchers, warned in their book, “The Population Bomb,” that the Earth cannot sustain the growth it was experiencing.
The population at the time: a mere 3.5 billion.
In 2016, Edward Osborne Wilson, a biologist known as the Darwin of the 21st century who won two Pulitzer Prizes, warned in his book, “Half-Earth: Our Planet’s Fight for Life,” that to survive, mankind needs to reserve half the Earth for wildlife. He also warned in his studies that the Earth has only the capacity to support 9 to 10 billion people.
In the early 1970s, a small group of scientists created a computer model called World3 which analyzed population growth. Its findings were published in a book, “The Limits to Growth.” The conclusion?
“…humanity was despoiling nature so fast that civilizational collapse would occur sometime within the next one hundred years.”
To give these abstract forecasts some meaning let’s look at Kenya. In 1971, it had a population of 11 million which grew to 53.7 million by 2021. In 1971, the country had 160,000 elephants and 20,000 black rhinos. By 2021, those numbers dropped to 35,000 elephants and 1,000 black rhinos and only two white rhinos (both female.) The same scenario is playing out throughout the world. (I chose Kenya as an example because I visited the country on a photo safari in 1996. It was an experience of a lifetime.)
Let’s focus on a place closer to home: Oakland County. Every time friends would point to a beautiful new subdivision, I would reply, “that’s pollution” because it took habitat from insects, bees, deer, coyotes, skunks, racoons, etc., all essential to the “circle of life.” Of course, the growth also created problems of water supply and pollution in the county’s many lakes.
When I was in my teens in the 1950s (yes, I’m old), much of where I now live, West Bloomfield, was farmland. I paid a farmer a couple of bucks to go horseback riding. It was a win-win for the farmer. He earned a few dollars and I exercised his horses. Now, when I sit in a traffic jam at Orchard Lake Road and Maple, I wish I was back in the saddle again.
I doubt there is much land left on which to expand in my suburb. Space is, after all, finite.
The problem: by the time the world understands the meaning of the emergency flashes on the radar and tries to respond appropriately, it will probably be too late.
The NATO Review, reported under the headline, “Population Growth, the Defining Challenge of the 21st Century:”
“Without taking action now, billions of people across the world will face thirst, hunger, slum conditions and conflict in response to droughts, food shortages, urban squalor, migration and ever depleting natural resources, while capacity tries to catch up with demand.”
The Population Center wrote:
“Slowing down, stopping and eventually reversing human population growth ---these are ethical imperatives that will help improve the chances for future generations establishing living scenarios with the planet. The most ethical gift we can give people and creatures of the last 21st century and early 22nd century is a chance.”
Regrettably, we are not living up to our moral and ethical obligation.
(Editor’s Note: This is the second in a series of five columns on the environment.)
—————
Berl Falbaum is a political author and journalist and the author of several books.
The world population of 7.9 billion slipped over the 8 billion mark. Worse, projections are that we will hit 9.1 billion by 2050, just 25 years away. This addition of another 1.1 billion people will require huge supplies of clean water, land, shelter, food, and energy, and it will further invade wildlife habitats.
Not only was this growth greeted with a yawn, but those who reported on the growth discussed it in entirely economic terms. Hardly a word was said about what it meant in terms of our environmental future.
Just one “minor” example: The New York Times in April 2023, reported that India will soon pass China in population, writing: “With size -- a population that now exceeds 1.4 billion -- comes geopolitical, economic and cultural power…And with growth comes the prospect of a ‘demographic dividend’.’’
The Times devoted three pages analyzing this development. There was not one word on what this meant to the environment.
Now, you don’t have to be a climate change expert, scientist or scholar to know that growth requires resources. We will now need more land for shelter, food, water, and energy -- resources which are already at a minimum. We are already using resources faster than the Earth can replenish them.
The dire warnings regarding population growth are not new; many experts in the past have tried to get the attention of the world on the threat that population growth poses to our existence.
For instance, the United Nations has estimated the planet will need twice as much food by 2050 than we are producing now. Its Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has reported we will need to increase world food production by 60 to 70 percent to feed 9 billion people.
In 2006, when former Vice President Al Gore released his award-winning book and movie, “An Inconvenient Truth,” which warned about the environmental challenges we face, the world population stood at 6.6 billion. We have witnessed an increase of 1.4 billion people or a 21.2 percent jump in just 19 years.
In 1968, Paul R. Ehrlich, and his wife, Anne Howland Ehrlich, two Stanford University researchers, warned in their book, “The Population Bomb,” that the Earth cannot sustain the growth it was experiencing.
The population at the time: a mere 3.5 billion.
In 2016, Edward Osborne Wilson, a biologist known as the Darwin of the 21st century who won two Pulitzer Prizes, warned in his book, “Half-Earth: Our Planet’s Fight for Life,” that to survive, mankind needs to reserve half the Earth for wildlife. He also warned in his studies that the Earth has only the capacity to support 9 to 10 billion people.
In the early 1970s, a small group of scientists created a computer model called World3 which analyzed population growth. Its findings were published in a book, “The Limits to Growth.” The conclusion?
“…humanity was despoiling nature so fast that civilizational collapse would occur sometime within the next one hundred years.”
To give these abstract forecasts some meaning let’s look at Kenya. In 1971, it had a population of 11 million which grew to 53.7 million by 2021. In 1971, the country had 160,000 elephants and 20,000 black rhinos. By 2021, those numbers dropped to 35,000 elephants and 1,000 black rhinos and only two white rhinos (both female.) The same scenario is playing out throughout the world. (I chose Kenya as an example because I visited the country on a photo safari in 1996. It was an experience of a lifetime.)
Let’s focus on a place closer to home: Oakland County. Every time friends would point to a beautiful new subdivision, I would reply, “that’s pollution” because it took habitat from insects, bees, deer, coyotes, skunks, racoons, etc., all essential to the “circle of life.” Of course, the growth also created problems of water supply and pollution in the county’s many lakes.
When I was in my teens in the 1950s (yes, I’m old), much of where I now live, West Bloomfield, was farmland. I paid a farmer a couple of bucks to go horseback riding. It was a win-win for the farmer. He earned a few dollars and I exercised his horses. Now, when I sit in a traffic jam at Orchard Lake Road and Maple, I wish I was back in the saddle again.
I doubt there is much land left on which to expand in my suburb. Space is, after all, finite.
The problem: by the time the world understands the meaning of the emergency flashes on the radar and tries to respond appropriately, it will probably be too late.
The NATO Review, reported under the headline, “Population Growth, the Defining Challenge of the 21st Century:”
“Without taking action now, billions of people across the world will face thirst, hunger, slum conditions and conflict in response to droughts, food shortages, urban squalor, migration and ever depleting natural resources, while capacity tries to catch up with demand.”
The Population Center wrote:
“Slowing down, stopping and eventually reversing human population growth ---these are ethical imperatives that will help improve the chances for future generations establishing living scenarios with the planet. The most ethical gift we can give people and creatures of the last 21st century and early 22nd century is a chance.”
Regrettably, we are not living up to our moral and ethical obligation.
(Editor’s Note: This is the second in a series of five columns on the environment.)
—————
Berl Falbaum is a political author and journalist and the author of several books.
